Sustainable Development
Wind and Solar Energy Development in Gilgit-Baltistan as Alternatives to Hydro Power
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Published
2 years agoon
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Pakistan is endowed with enormous, and untapped, energy-producing potential owing largely to the natural water resources. The installed power generation capacity of Pakistan, as per NEPRA’s State of Industry Report 2020, stands at 38,719 MW. However, the country holds potential for much more. WAPDA reports that there is 60,000 MW of hydropower potential in the country, of which only 7,320 MW has been developed.
The Indus River along the mountainous north, flowing between the valleys of Gilgit-Baltistan, and the Jhelum River running across the plains of Punjab, as well as Azad Jammu and Kashmir, all carry huge prospects for development in the Power sector, provided that these resources are utilized to their full potential.
The Energy Crisis
Pakistan is amid an energy crisis due to which an estimated population of 220 million suffers from the unreliable power supply and more than frequent power outages. It not only affects day-to-day activities across the country but also has a devastating impact on the economy. The developing country, with excessive dependence on imported fuels, is under pressure due to a severe shortage and massive usage.
Since all human activity, especially in areas booming with industrial and tourism activity, requires a sufficient amount of energy for proper functioning, Pakistan is in dire need of working towards other means of energy production.
The Case for Gilgit-Baltistan
Like the rest of the country, Gilgit-Baltistan remains subject to unannounced power shortages. It is especially a problem during the seasons when tourist influx is at peak and when water volume in rivers and nullahs on which hydel power stations are built decreases due to cold climatic conditions. Adding to the underutilization of hydroelectricity resources are the following reasons;
- Inadequate physical infrastructure limiting supply from the national grid
- Financial constraints
- Unequal distribution of power supply
Where the region holds massive potential to produce huge amounts of renewable energy, the prime tourist destinations in the country rely on expensive diesel and petrol generators to make up for the lack of energy. This is not only insufficient to accommodate the high tourist influx, but it also exposes the natural environment to irreversible dangers.
Alternative sources of Energy
Energy production needs to be shifted from fossil fuels to renewable energy-efficient technologies. Pakistan in general and Gilgit-Baltistan, in particular, has the potential to harness alternate forms of energy like hydropower and solar energy. A major portion of the power is obtained from hydropower. However, solar power options need to be explored. This form of energy is key to harnessing the maximum and imaginable amount of solar energy due to long sunshine hours and high insulation levels in the northern reaches of Pakistan.
As alternate forms of energy, the focus here is on hydropower and solar energy.
Hydropower
As per the International Hydropower Association (IHA), Pakistan is gifted with substantial water resources. IHA cites Pakistan’s Water and Power Development Authority (WAPDA) that there are sixty thousand megawatts of hydropower potential in the country, of which only 7,320 MW has been developed. While the rest is untapped. Hydropower once supported the country’s power sector, accounting for 45 percent of power generation in the last decade of the last century, but this proportion has decreased substantially, and now the share of hydropower in the country’s energy is about 28 percent forcing over-reliance on imported fuels for thermal generation, subjecting to price fluctuations, load-shedding and aggravating the energy crisis in the country as well as causing environmental degradation on top to the unprecedented burden on the balance of payments. Gilgit-Baltistan has tremendous potential for hydropower
but yet it has not been fully exploited by the government of Pakistan. By using the hydro
Gilgit-Baltistan has tremendous potential for hydropower but yet it has not been fully exploited by the government of Pakistan. By using the hydro Gilgit-Baltistan has been bestowed with the exceptional and yet untapped potential of hydropower. Giving attention to this sector clean and alternate energy can easily be produced in huge quantities which can then be transmitted to the whole of the country through a national grid at low costs. As per Arif Hussain of Sungkyunkwan University et al., “the estimated potential of hydropower in Gilgit-Baltistan is 40,000 MW while the identified potential is around 22,125 MW and installed capacity is only 148 MW, which is just 2% of existing potential… recently two projects with an installed capacity of 180.79 MW, are under construction in Gilgit-Baltistan by Federal government, while two projects, Satpara and Walter with a power capacity of 12 MW and 28 MW respectively, are recently commissioned.”
Gilgit-Baltistan has tremendous potential for hydropower but yet it has not been fully exploited by the government of Pakistan. By using hydropower resources, clean energy can be easily produced which can be then easily transmitted within the national grid at low costs. The estimated potential of hydropower in Gilgit-Baltistan is 40,000 MW while the identified potential is around 22,125 MW and installed capacity is only 148 MW (126 small hydropower generation units), which is just 2% of existing potential as shown in Fig.
2. Currently, two major mega-dams, Diamer-Basha and Bonji dam with a power capacity of 4500 and 7500 MW respectively, and other projects with an installed capacity of 180.79 MW, are under construction in Gilgit-Baltistan by The federal government, while two projects, Satpara and Nalter with the power capacity of 12 MW and 28 MW respectively, are
recently commissioned. The enormous hydropower potential of Gilgit-Baltistan can be utilized for boosting economic activities of various sectors such as industries, tourism and
commercial activities. This will open new avenues for self-employment and business opportunities in Gilgit-Baltistan. With this potential untapped, electricity provided en masse, the government may generate substantial revenue on top of saving the environment from degradation for masses cut down trees frantically for firewood and heating.
Solar Energy
Another green energy/alternate energy generation would be venturing into power generation through solar power. Sun shines for more than 12 hours during summers and 7 hours during winters.
According to a study conducted by Iqbal, S., Ali, S.M., Islam, A. et al. published in 2020 in International Journal of Energy and Water Resources it is explored that;
Gilgit-Baltistan has the potential for solar power development as it receives solar radiation greater than 4 kWh/m2/day from April to September. Land suitability analysis has revealed that 10% (6706 km2) and 9% (5590.08 km2) of the area are very highly suitable for harnessing solar potential sites in Gilgit Baltistan using Pakistan Meteorological Department data and National Renewable Energy Laboratory solar data respectively. While District Diamir has 15% and 13%, Gilgit has 14% and 13%) and Ghizer has 11% and 12% potential for Photo Voltaic solar power systems installation based on both Pakistan Meteorological Department and National Renewable Energy Laboratory solar data.
Wind Energy
Wind resource mapping suggests that Gilgit-Baltistan is home to various small wind resource patches. The various studies conducted as regards to the utilization of wind resource across the region proves to be quite a fine alternative to using diesel run generators in winters.
In a study by Ali et al. published in 2021, the major deep valleys for the production of clean wind energy have been identified. The various districts of Gilgit and Baltistan divisions with the monthly average wind speed have been provided. These areas include Khaplu, Kharmang, Shigar, and Skardu in Baltistan and Chilas, Ghizer, Astore, Hunza, and Nagar in Gilgit. The average wind speed in the areas range from a highest of 7.11 m/s in Khaplu to 5.2 m/s in Chilas.
This untapped potential proves to be a game-changer in the energy sector. Once installed, its recurring cost is even less than the hydropower energy and it can also be relocated if the weather conditions don’t allow the sun to shine on the installations. It would also save from potential threats to the environment caused during the construction of hydropower stations.
About Author
Lala Rukh Ramal
The writer is an associate editor at The Karakoram Magazine and is also pursuing a master’s degree in Chinese politics from the Silk Road School, Renmin University of China.
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Sustainable Development
SUPARCO Inaugurates First Space Applications and Research Center in Gilgit-Baltistan
Published
4 months agoon
October 3, 2024By
Imran Ali![SUPARC GB Research Center in Gilgit-Baltistan](https://thekarakoram.com.pk/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/IMG_4183.jpg)
In a landmark achievement, Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO) successfully inaugurated the Space Applications and Research Center (SPARC-GB) in a ceremony held on Wednesday, 2 October.
Chief Minister of Gilgit-Baltistan, Haji Gulbar Khan, as the chief guest, celebrated the establishment of Pakistan’s first space research hub in Gilgit-Baltistan.
![](https://thekarakoram.com.pk/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/IMG_4184-1-1024x478.jpg)
The opening of SPARC-GB marks a pivotal moment for the region, as it will play a crucial role in addressing environmental and socio-economic challenges.
The center will focus on critical issues such as climate change, glacier melt, and water resource management, positioning itself as a vital player in monitoring natural disasters and protecting biodiversity in Gilgit-Baltistan, said a news release received from SUPARCO.
In his welcome address, Chairman SUPARCO, Muhammad Yousuf Khan highlighted the establishment of SPARC-GB as a hub for cutting-edge research and innovation.
He emphasized that the center supports the local community through employment, capacity building, and development initiatives.
He also noted the region’s vulnerability to climate change and stressed the need for urgent action and enhanced local capacity.
The chairman underscored that with SPARC-GB’s operationalization, satellite-based monitoring capabilities will be further strengthened to address environmental challenges in the region.
Speaking on the occasion, Chief Minister of Gilgit-Baltistan, Haji Gulbar Khan acknowledged the significant step toward addressing the region’s pressing challenges.
He emphasized the critical issues Gilgit-Baltistan faces due to climate change such as glacier melting, which threatens water resources and communities.
He highlighted the region’s vulnerability to natural disaster like landslides, floods, and earthquakes requiring advanced monitoring systems.
The chief minister urged officials to integrate space technology and work closely with SUPARCO for regional development.
Attended by researchers, scientists, environmentalists, and students, the inauguration highlighted SPARC-GB’s mission to drive innovation and provide cutting-edge solutions to the region’s environmental challenges.
With its advanced space-based technology, the center is poised to deliver critical data on glacier monitoring, landslide risks, and unpredictable weather patterns, ensuring the resilience and safety of local communities.
In collaboration with the Government of Gilgit-Baltistan and international research organizations, SPARC-GB will provide technological assistance to address local challenges, including disaster management, ecological conservation and socio-economic development.
As part of SUPARCO’s Space Education and Awareness Drive, SPARC-GB is aimed at inspiring young minds, offering dynamic programs and research opportunities.
The center will serve as a beacon of scientific excellence, contributing to both local and global advancements in space technology.
About Author
Imran Ali
The writer is the Founder & CEO of The Karakoram Magazine. Additionally, he is a nuclear scholar fellow at the Centre for Security Strategy and Policy Research (CSSPR) and can be reached at aleee.imran@gmail.com.
Climate
Eco-Friendly Alternatives: Gilgit-Baltistan’s Green Business Development Initiative
Published
9 months agoon
May 25, 2024By
Imran Ali![](https://thekarakoram.com.pk/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/sustainability-business-environmental-management-system-research-png-favpng-a2N3BB87dA50LXy04wNMYJSL5-removebg-preview.png)
Plastic waste has become a global crisis, and Pakistan is no exception. According to a report by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Pakistan is among the top countries in the world that are most affected by plastic pollution. Pakistan has one of the highest percentages of mismanaged plastic in South Asia.
More than 3.3 million tons of plastic is wasted each year in Pakistan. In Gilgit-Baltistan, plastic waste is a significant problem, especially in the tourism industry, where a huge number of tourists visit every year and often leave behind plastic waste. Besides this, plastic waste occupies a major portion of solid waste in GB due to its wide use. This waste is openly dumped or burned for heating purposes, especially in winter which is responsible for emissions of obnoxious gases, posing a threat to vegetation, human and animal health, and the environment as a whole. Gilgit city is grappling with a significant environmental and financial burden due to the excessive use of single-use plastic shopping bags. Every year, the city consumes an alarming 11 tons of these bags, costing an estimated 60 million rupees.
On a per-kilogram basis, these bags cost anywhere between 450 to 500 rupees, adding up to a staggering 4.95 million rupees in monthly consumption alone. Annually, the cost of these bags is a staggering 59.4 million rupees, which is roughly 60 million rupees.
But the financial burden is just the tip of the iceberg. The environmental cost of these bags is even more staggering. Approximately 20.46 million tons of these bags are discarded into the environment, causing severe damage to the ecosystem.
The ultimate fate of this huge chunk of plastic waste is “Bukhari” traditional heating stoves or open dumps in water channels, streets and open fields.
It’s time for us to come together and make a change by reducing the use of these harmful single-use plastic bags in Gilgit city and opting for more eco-friendly alternatives for a sustainable future.
The Role of EPA
But there is hope. Gilgit-Baltistan Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in collaboration with Line departments, NGOs, Communities, and the private sector has taken a step forward to eliminate single-use plastic from the region under the project named “Phasing out Plastic Bags in Gilgit-Baltistan through Promotion of Smart Shopping Bags” by introducing the Green Businesses Development initiative. The aim of the project is to preserve the natural environment of GB by phasing-out polythene bags and by promoting local entrepreneurs to promote cloth, paper and other eco-friendly bags. In this regard, the ban on single-use plastic shopping bags has been implemented in Gilgit city from 1st January 2023. To maximize the social and environmental benefits of the project interventions, “Green Businesses” would be incubated by supporting existing entrepreneurs by providing interest-free loans. The initiative, which is currently in the implementation stage, aims to provide interest-free loans of up to PKR 96 million to local enterprises that will work to make Eco-friendly bags i.e., cloth, paper, and nonwoven bags. This initiative is not only a response to the plastic waste problem but also a response to the challenges posed by climate change in Gilgit-Baltistan.
![](https://thekarakoram.com.pk/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/75429632_422269825106348_7891447019883986944_n.jpg)
The Green Businesses initiative is a major step forward in the fight against plastic waste in Gilgit-Baltistan. Once the loan initiative is implemented, the local enterprises will be required to use eco-friendly materials, and also have to comply with the regulations set by GB-EPA in terms of waste management, energy consumption, and emissions. Furthermore, the initiative will also provide training to the enterprises for the implementation of circular economy principles and to promote sustainable production methods.
![](https://thekarakoram.com.pk/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/29-01-A-1024x640-1.jpg)
Say No to Single-Use Plastics: Switch to Reusable Alternatives
Plastic bags made from petroleum or natural gas are a major contributor to pollution and take hundreds of years to degrade. Non-woven bags, also known as reusable bags, are a sustainable alternative that are biodegradable, compostable, and made from recyclable materials like polypropylene. It is evident from the studies that non-woven bags consume less energy and materials and releases fewer greenhouse gases (GHG) than other types of shopping bags. Reusable plastics, like water bottles and food storage containers, have a lower impact on the environment than disposable plastics when used responsibly and recycled properly. To minimize the environmental impact of plastics, it’s important to reduce single-use plastics and promote reusable alternatives, as well as education on proper disposal and recycling.
A Circular Economy Approach Towards a Sustainable Gilgit-Baltistan
The use of plastic in Gilgit-Baltistan was almost non-existent before the 1990s. Instead, locals relied on traditional materials such as cloth or willow bags. Implementing a plastic ban in the region would have numerous benefits, both economically and environmentally. It would support local businesses by promoting the use of locally-made alternatives such as cloth or paper bags and encourage a circular economy. Additionally, it would save the region an estimated 60 million rupees that would otherwise be spent on importing plastic. The environmental benefits would also be substantial. With an average of .5 million tourists visiting Gilgit-Baltistan each year, if each visitor were to use just three plastic bags, that would amount to 1.5 million plastic bags ending up in the environment. By implementing a plastic ban and promoting eco-friendly alternatives, the local economy would be supported and the region would become more attractive to tourists. The Gilgit-Baltistan Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is also taking steps to hold multinational companies accountable for plastic pollution and require them to give back to this initiative through Corporate Social Responsibility.
![](https://thekarakoram.com.pk/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/324552359_887293536030201_5734213193369431133_n-1024x768.jpg)
This initiative can prove to boost the concept of a circular economy within an otherwise unsustainable environment. Supported by the fact that the region of Gilgit-Baltistan does not encompass any manufacturing of plastic products, the amount of plastic found within the region is unreasonable. This concept of circular economy can prove to be beneficial for employment purposes across the region through the adoption of sustainable and environment friendly alternatives.
Furthermore, Gilgit-Baltistan receives more than its residential capacity of tourists within the span of a few months each year, thus bringing in a whole new hoard of plastic bags adding to the already humongous numbers. If sustainable solutions are adapted across the region, this issue can be fixed, however, for this to happen the Plastic Ban has to be implemented rigorously.
The circular economy approach promotes reusable materials, closing the loop on the use and disposal of plastic products. This model has been successful in many countries such as France, where a law was passed in 2016 that ban disposable plastic plates, cups, and cutlery. It also put into place an extended producer responsibility, obligating manufacturers to finance the collection and recycling of their products.
Conclusion
But the fight against plastic waste is not just the responsibility of local businesses. Each and every one of us has a role to play. By choosing to use reusable water bottles, shopping bags, and containers, we can reduce our own plastic waste. Supporting local businesses that use eco-friendly alternative options is also a great way to make a difference. By working together, we can build a cleaner and more sustainable future for Gilgit-Baltistan.
![](https://thekarakoram.com.pk/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/324595150_1594133424384939_8033511631939862888_n-1024x713.jpg)
The Green Businesses initiative is an important step towards addressing the plastic waste complexity in Gilgit-Baltistan and addressing the challenges posed by climate change in the region. The initiative is currently in the implementation stage, and with the support of local businesses and the community, it has the potential to make a significant impact on reducing plastic waste and promoting sustainable practices. It’s important to keep in mind that this initiative is not a one-time solution, but a continuous effort that requires the participation and commitment of all sectors of society. With this initiative in place, we can work towards a greener and more sustainable Gilgit-Baltistan.
About Author
Imran Ali
The writer is the Founder & CEO of The Karakoram Magazine. Additionally, he is a nuclear scholar fellow at the Centre for Security Strategy and Policy Research (CSSPR) and can be reached at aleee.imran@gmail.com.
Opinion
Development Planning in Gilgit-Baltistan – The Missing Link {A reflection}
![Avatar photo](http://thekarakoram.com.pk/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/cropped-12800318_1230000030361518_7852186001820529656_n-removebg-preview-46x46.png)
Published
1 year agoon
September 5, 2023![](https://thekarakoram.com.pk/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/development-in-gb.png)
Mr. Sajjad Hyder, Chief Economist, Planning & Development department has recently retired from his service after serving almost three decades, commencing from April 1993 to November 30, 2022. He, as Chief Economist, was responsible for leading public Investment management policies for designing and implementing various socioeconomic development projects and programs in the region. Moreover, concoction of substantive policies for socioeconomic development in all sections was also part of his job responsibilities.
The retired officer, Mr. Sajjad Hyder, has shared the following reflection, regarding public investment management in GB, which is based on his 30 years of exposure as a development planning practitioner:
Development Planning in Gilgit-Baltistan – Missing Link
Historical background: The development economics was born immediately after the second world war with the birth of the Breton Woods international financial system to facilitate development and eradicate poverty in the countries that were emerging out of colonialism. The Planning commission Pakistan was formally established in 1953 with the Harvard Advisory Group (HAG) officially became its coach soon after. Based on their methodology, the country introduced formal 5-year planning in 1955 which with periodic interregnums continues until today. In Gilgit-Baltistan, development planning starts with the inception of 2nd Five Year plan by establishing a Planning Cell in 1971.
It is not out of place here to say that most of the project cycle management components in GB have fallen into misuse, while others have developed serious defects. Following are the major gaps, in my observation over last 30 years with the department:
REASONS OF INEFFICIENCY IN DEVELOPMENT PLANNING IN GILGIT-BALTISTAN:
As indicated earlier, Public Investment Management in Gilgit Baltistan starts from 2nd five-year plan. This system served well the needs of this region in
early stages as the planning & development department was an empowered organization headed by a development commissioner in BS 20. Over time, however, the system developed several problems due to degradation of the organization in view of successive political developments in the region. Presently, Gilgit-Baltistan’s PIM system (development planning) is mere shadow of the concept given by the Harvard Advisory Group, meaning, in capacity, influence and effectiveness.
To understand the sources of inefficiency, it is necessary to review all the stages in the public investment process to identifying gaps and weak points in the processes and procedures.
Guidance and Screening: Identification and screening components of PIM are badly compromised due to atrophy of economic planning in Gilgit-Baltistan. Three broad factors were mainly responsible for the waning performance of the PIM system in GB:
1) Rigidities of the PIM system: The structure of the economy changed from a public sector led to a private sector led economy. This structural changed called for a different role of the planning system, in general, and particularly, the role of P&DD. This required different skills and competencies than what are available with the department. 2) Dominance of crisis management over economic management: As projects started to slow down due to economic policy and planning adopted in firefighting mode. Longer term planning as well as public investment became casualties of the crisis mode which has preoccupied the GB Government for the last several years.
3) A sharp decline in the capacity of the PIM system in GB: With no medium-term plan or strategy available to define the sectoral and sub-sectoral priorities of the government, the project identification process became largely ad-hoc, with identified projects reflecting more the priorities of political leadership than those established through a well thought out plan. The void left by abandonment of the planning process is largely filled by the politicians, where a large number of projects are identified by politicians, or by the line-departments on directives of the politicians.
Ironically, the Planning Commission manual, provides ample guidance for identification, appraisal, and implementation of various programs / projects but of no use in GB.
Project Preparation and Appraisal: In the beginning, the quality of project preparation and appraisal was quite satisfactory. However, over time, these functions weakened, mainly due to following reasons:
- With mounting fiscal difficulties, the line departments faced an increasing
squeeze on their operational (recurrent) budget. Inclusion of a project into
the ADP therefore became a mode of getting additional fiscal resources
for the line departments, from which it can finance some of operational
needs left unmet by inadequate recurrent budget. There was therefore a
big enough incentive for the line departments to get as many as possible
projects into the ADP as soon as possible. This forced them to cut
corners on project preparation and pull all strings and levers to get project
approved. {Roughly, only 3 percent of development expenditure goes to create or acquire physical assets, whereas 31 percent is spent on operation expenditure}. - Political intervention in the development process increased adversely
affecting the quality of project preparation and the moral of
development-related staff in the departments and P&DD. There never has been any tradition in GB of undertaking ex ante or ex-post independent reviews of the preparation and appraisal process even for important projects. - “Games” in the project preparations and approval processes: Limited capacity of the P&DD to properly appraise projects has given rise to some “gaming” behavior within the line departments to get whatever they want from the project approving authorities by deliberately include unwanted expenditure items (e.g. a large number of vehicles) in the project design just to distract the P&DD’s appraisal team to focus on these items, leading to a less than required focus on other areas and costs of the project. {The end result is leading to implementation delays, changes in scope and design of the project, cost overruns and consequently loss in benefits from the projects}.
- Project Selection and Budgeting: Once a project is included in ADP in principle, administrative and political wheels start moving to get the project approved, irrespective of whether funds for the project are available or not, and it is technically viable or otherwise. This leads to a number of projects making into the ADP with insufficient (at time a “token” allocation). This allocation is usually not even enough to pay for the
salaries of the project staff. Moreover, this also leads to thin spreading
of resources across other projects. As such, many projects get under-financed, which causes implementation delays, and a large throw-forward. A large throw-forward leaves little room for the incoming new government to implement its development agenda with full vigor. This has created a number of implementation issues undermining the efficiency of public investment.
Project Implementation: Project Implementation has been a weak area in GB. For ADP projects, shortcomings in project identification, preparation, appraisal, and approval processes make implementation very difficult. In addition, projects are usually managed by staff taken form regular cadres of government, with limited project management skills.
At times project management is assigned as an “additional responsibility” along with the person’s normal work. Moreover, procedures governing project financing, procurement and contracting are overly cumbersome. Hence, implementation delays and the consequent cost escalations are a norm rather than an exception for ADP.
Public Procurements: Weak procurement practices remain one of the major reasons for inefficiencies in public expenditure, including public investments as procurement is a highly technical subject. In addition, the volume of public procurements is huge, both in size and number. There are not enough skilled procurement specialists within the GB Government to manage all these procurements. Moreover, weak accountability and defective bidding and contract documents have given rise to corrupt contracting procedures and practices which directly undermine the efficiency of public expenditure in general, and particularly public investment.
Monitoring & Evaluation: Despite being a function mandated to both the line departments and the P&DD, project monitoring requires considerable improvements. To date, most of monitoring that is undertaken relates to inputs and compliance with procedures and processes, output and impact monitoring continues to be considered as outside the purview and mandate.
Project Completion and Service Delivery: Although procedures for completing a project and soliciting operational resources are well laid out, yet they are hardly ever followed. Project completion report (PC-IV) is filed only in cases where the project requires recurrent expenditure allocation to be operational. Following are the reasons for inadequate allocation of operational budget to a newly completed project:
i) Weak estimates of operational resources: While preparing the PC-I, the line
departments deliberately understate the recurrent expenditure implications of
the project. This is done to improve the chances of getting the project
approved and included in the development budget. The finance authority
takes these estimates very seriously when making operational allocation after
completion of the project.
ii) Implementation delays not only lead to escalation in project cost, but also in recurrent expenditure required to make the project operational.
iii) Inadequacy of R&M allocations lead to deterioration in quality of service
delivered by the projects, reducing value for money under projects.
Missing Links in Functioning of Planning & Development Department: P&DD GB has thus become a project approval body where most of the projects are not identified based on technical considerations or as part of a shared approach to maximizing growth and welfare. These developments adversely impacted the value for money under development.
At all stages of the project, P&DD is supposed to keep track of performance. However, this tracking is now not happening to maximize project performance. At the project initiation, the PC1 form requires a full cost-benefit and economic analysis of the project to be presented to the approving bodies, after scrutiny by the sections.
When the project is complete the sponsoring agency must send a completion report, the PC4. Seldom is this report completed and hence there is little evaluation of the work done and its proper costing. After 5 years of the completion of the project, an evaluation report, PC5, reports on the performance of the project comparing it to the stated expectations set out in the PC1. Once again, these reports are seldom if ever completed. Altogether, role of P&DD is to approve projects and maintaining expenditure management afterwards.
Too Many Projects, Too Little Return
The technical details of policy and projects such as basis of evidence, cost-benefit,
rates of return and rigorous feasibility or sensitivity analysis have gradually been
withdrawn from senior policymaking forums. Looking strictly at the project
development and management system, several weaknesses have crept into the system, lowering their impact and rate of return.
These are:
1) Projects are approved without due diligence. Feasibilities, cost-benefit analysis, spatial determination, and several other details are often subject to political or other considerations. Approvals are pushed through with executive fiat.
2) Projects frequently have large cost overruns. Using a selection of ADP projects overruns are frequent and quite large. This is a combination of poor project management, infrequent delays leading to cost escalation as well as poor initial preparation.
3) Excessive focus on brick and mortar. The bulk of the investment is in hard infrastructure such and link roads are the biggest components. Even in the social sectors and other sectors, departments are interested in brick and mortar and even the approval process favors that.
(To be continued by highlighting proposals for improvement)
Mr. Sajjad Hyder joined P&DD, as Research Officer (BS-17), in 1993 and worked in all the sectors of economy, undertaking research studies and region’s policy development initiatives for socioeconomic development. Main research studies include: Northern Areas Strategy for Sustainable Development, in collaboration with IUC Pakistan, Norther Ares Report on Participatory Poverty Assessment in collaboration with planning commission Pakistan, and Gilgit Baltistan Economic Report {Broadening the Transformation}, a joint venture with ADB and world bank. His contribution in major project interventions include Pakistan Social Action Program, under which significant impact was seen in primary education, primary health care and rural water supply and sanitation in this region. Altogether, Mr. Sajjad Hyder, as young officer {that time}, had acted a leading role in SAP interventions as a catalyst.
In the years ahead, Mr. Sajjad Hyder, was elevated to the positions of Assistant Chief (BS-18), Deputy Chief (BS -19), and Chief Economist (BS-20), having commendable contribution (s) in the socioeconomic development of Gilgit=Baltistan.
About Author
Sajjad Hayder
The writer was the Chief Economist, Planning and Development Department, Government of Gilgit-Baltistan, who recently retired from his service after serving almost three decades. He, as Chief Economist, was responsible for leading public investment management policies for designing and implementing various socioeconomic development projects and programs in the region.
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